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Defusing the Iraqi Conflict.  November 7, 2007

Few Britons have any idea of what our troops actually do in Iraq. The media’s coverage is generally limited to casualty reports, abuse claims and the odd, ill-informed screed about soldiers having the wrong equipment.

In four years no British media organisation, including the BBC, has bothered to establish a bureau in Basra. This lack of information makes Chris Hunter’s extraordinary Eight Lives Down all the more welcome and important.

But even if the ordinary travails of British troops in Iraq were wellcovered, this gripping memoir would be a revelation. After all, it’s by and about a man whose real-life job involves choosing between the red and blue wire so familiar in James Bond films ? only on a daily basis.

Chris Hunter is a veteran ‘ammunition technical officer’ or counterterrorist bomb-disposal expert.

During the first two months of his four-month tour of Iraq in 2004 ? a tour that coincided with the most intense period of the war in Basra ? his team was called out 45 times to disable various improvised explosive devices (IEDs), including remotecontrolled rockets aimed at Britain’s main Basra city base.

You might expect an account of disabling bombs to be repetitive or overly technical, but Hunter’s is neither. Each incident is fascinatingly different and edge-of-the-seat dramatic, and Hunter recounts them with vividness and clarity.

When he walks up to a dusty box by a highway with wires trailing off into a distant slum, or up to a car weighed down by explosives, he goes into his ‘other world’ ? he becomes a soldier with the concentration of a Zen monk and the manual dexterity of a surgeon.

Back at base, Hunter looks for patterns in the way that bombs are made and laid. At first his main opponent is a Sunni bomb-making gang, who are happy to slaughter scores of Shia civilians along with Coalition soldiers. Then, in the spring of 2004 comes the Shia militia uprising. They increasingly receive high-tech help from Iran and even Lebanese Hezbollah in using devices such as mobile phones and electronic car keys to detonate bombs by remote control.

Soon Hunter himself becomes a target for assassination: ‘They are out to kill the golden-haired bomb man in Basra,’ he’s told. Bombs are planted near schools and hospitals just to get Hunter out into the open and a sniper’s sights.

But it’s not all bombs and IEDs. Hunter also vividly describes full-on infantry combat, when on only his fifth day in country his convoy is ambushed on the main road. It’s one of several attacks on British troops after Piers Morgan’s Daily Mirror published obviously faked pictures of British soldiers abusing a prisoner.

The book reveals other uncomfortable truths. It turns out that the biggest handicap for British troops has been a lack of air cover. Often, when Hunter’s team disarmed a bomb, militiamen spied on them from rooftops.

On one occasion he was able to call helicopters in, prompting the watchers to flee. Mostly no helicopters came because it was either ‘too hot’ or none were available. Yet there were pilots twiddling their thumbs at base, and helicopters sitting unused at home in the UK along with other needed equipment.

Hunter is not a professional writer and the book is written in plain conversational soldier-speak peppered with military acronyms (there’s a glossary at the back), obscenities and cliché. Sometimes it feels as though he’s trying too hard to create a dramatic arc out of the question of whether his marriage will survive his tour.

But unlike much military nonfiction there isn’t a dull or needless paragraph. The action is relentless ? Hunter saw more of it than most.

Indeed, as he was called out daily to different parts of the city, Hunter is probably a better informed guide to the war than more senior officers or the ordinary infantryman on patrol.

You also get a rare picture of professional soldiers at work: how they get on with each other and on with their jobs under huge stress.

There’s illegal drinking. There’s infuriating laziness on the part of rear echelon support troops. There’s absurd interference by senior commanders ‘too busy reminiscing about past conflicts to think about present and future ones’. There is compassion for the Iraqi people that the ‘bring-the-troops-home-now’ crowd could learn from.

You also get a powerful sense of just how amazingly filthy and run-down Basra is, even by Iraqi standards, despite promises of British aid.

Eight Lives Down is essential for anyone who wants to understand this war and the Army in general. It should be compulsory reading for Messrs Brown and Cameron and every single bureaucrat at the MoD.

In any case, it is almost certainly destined to be the British military classic of the Iraq war, and a book that will be read long after this conflict is over. Chris Hunter had already given extraordinary service to his country ? and to civilians of Bosnia, Colombia, Afghanistan and Iraq ? in one of the most dangerous military jobs. By writing this book he has also done a service to his profession, and created an enduring monument to his comrades.

 

 

 

 

OCTOBER 30, 2007

MRAPs, A-10s, Personal Radios and How Genuinely “Supporting the Troops” would mean recognizing that Iraq is a real war.

There is real war and then there is “war” — the politician’s overwrought metaphor. The best-known examples of the latter are the “war on drugs” and “war on poverty”: Campaigns that were inherently open-ended and unwinnable, and which never commanded the resources of the nation’s real wars. One reason that we have not been as successful as we could and should have been, in both Iraq and Afghanistan, is that top officials in the Pentagon and the White House have not treated these conflicts like real wars — with all the seriousness that a real war entails.

One can see this in the persistent failure to purge senior officers who tick all the boxes for peacetime command, but who lack what it takes to be battlefield leaders in a counterinsurgency war; Generals Abizaid and Sanchez, for example, should never have been in charge of our overall effort in Iraq. Abu Ghraib’s General Janet Karpinski apparently remained in command because politically correct Pentagon officials were more worried about removing the most senior female officer in Iraq, than about the mission she was failing to carry out. By contrast, in World War II, after defeats like Kasserine Pass in Tunisia, the U.S. military generally snapped out of its pre-war complacency and started to look for and promote genuinely able war-fighters (Patton and Eisenhower were both mere colonels in 1940 and John Gavin was only a captain). This process is only just beginning six years into the War on Terror.

One can also detect a failure to treat the war as a real war, in the apparent inability of the U.S. government and military to explain to the American (and Iraqi) people what American troops actually do in Iraq. Even worse is the failure to publicize in a wholehearted and convincing way their genuine successes. This is a public-relations self-inflicted wound with strategic implications: It has ceded the information warfare initiative to the enemy in Iraq, and to the anti-war movement at home.

Similar complacency is revealed by the ingratitude shown to America’s allies in Iraq and Afghanistan. You might expect the mainstream media to ignore the presence of some 30 allied forces in Iraq in order to promote the narrative of “unilateralism”; you don’t, however, expect the U.S. government to fail to publicize that presence. Nor would a government that is serious about winning “the long war” screw Coalition partners when it comes to divvying up the contracting pie. Yet that is exactly what the Bush administration, the CPA and the Defense Department have done.

(The governments of small countries like Denmark and the Netherlands and of poor countries like Poland, Macedonia, and Georgia have done the right thing by America and sent their men into the cauldron — only to see companies from France given major contracts. In the case of Georgia, which has deployed real combat troops in both Iraq and Afghanistan, the U.S. has returned the new republic’s loyalty by failing to back it up against Russian aggression. And when Tony Blair was asked what economic benefit U.K. companies had gained from British participation in Iraqi construction, he could cite only two sizeable contracts. )

But perhaps you can see this lack of seriousness about the war most starkly in the way Pentagon brass spends or doesn’t spend money on personnel and equipment, the way the standard peacetime pork barrel games go on being played even though there are real lives at stake. A government that is serious about the war would snap out of business-as-usual/casual corruption mode to ensure that its forces have the weapons and vehicles they need to do their job. It would not continue to buy shiny toys designed for wars that top brass would like to fight.

It is bad enough that our troops — of whom we plainly don’t have enough — are grossly underpaid at a time when we need to provide every possible incentive to retain experienced people in the armed services. They are also subject to unnecessary physical risk. A military establishment that was serious about protecting its invaluable human assets would be seriously reconsidering the Stryker program, and would have long ago have replaced even its up-armored Humvees with Mine Resistant Ambush Protected vehicles (MRAPs) like the Israeli Wolf or the South African Mamba. Contrary to oft-repeated myth, the South African vehicle is available off the shelf for the same price as an up-armored Humvee. Indeed, last year the Swedish Army bought fewer than 200 of them for approximately $150,000 each.

 

 

A military establishment on a genuine, serious war footing would also be working harder to ensure that we have an enough air cover in Iraq to make up for our lack of ground troops, and to maintain control of battlespace liberated from insurgents. Too often in Iraq we have failed to use our domination of the skies to deprive the enemy of freedom of movement simply because we don’t have enough aircraft of the right kind. The main supply routes along which our convoys our travel, and which have been attacked thousands of times, should be under constant aerial surveillance. They are not, because the USAF lacks the appropriate aircraft to carry out this task. Worse, it refuses to buy such planes, and battles in Washington to make sure that the Army is not able to field its own fixed wing aircraft for close air support and forward air control. Millions have been spent on researching technological countermeasures to IEDs; much of it would be better spent on aircraft (helicopters, propeller planes with long loiter times, even blimps) that would spot the men planting the bombs on the highway.

 

For that matter, if the Air Force’s leadership were willing to live up to its patriotic responsibilities, it would be ordering a sensible successor to the A-10 Warthog. This, the most effective aircraft in the War on Terror, is flown primarily by National Guardsmen and loathed by fighter-jock AF generals because it’s ugly, slow, unglamorous, and designed specifically to support ground forces. Indeed the USAF tried to get rid of it after the first Gulf War, and only grudgingly changed its collective mind when the Army threatened to break its traditional agreement not to field fixed wing aircraft.

 

The A-10 is due to be replaced not by another rugged, highly survivable ground attack aircraft specifically designed for close air support, but by a version of the fabulously expensive and delicate F35 fighter. This has the same disadvantages as the F16s and F18s that have been responsible for so many friendly fire casualties and civilian deaths — it can’t fly slowly enough to see what’s happening on the ground, it burns up too much fuel to loiter long around the battlefield, and it’s too valuable to fly low and in range of enemy guns and missiles.

 

Meanwhile, down on the ground, G.I.s patrolling Iraqi cities should long ago have been issued personal radios like British troops have.

Personal radios enable a squad to split up and patrol down parallel streets, to let each other know when they see trouble ahead or behind, and to do so without shouting and therefore giving away their own positions. It’s a relatively cheap piece of equipment – used already by U.S. Special Forces – that could have saved hundreds of American troops from death or injury.

 

It is true, as Donald Rumsfeld said, that you go to war with the equipment you have. But we have now been fighting the Iraq war for four years.That is more than enough time for Pentagon officials to realize that foot patrols in dangerous urban areas are something that soldiers are going to have to do, in Iraq and elsewhere, if America is to have a chance of winning the “war on terror.”

 

Finally there’s the question of personal weapons. When I was first in Baghdad in the spring and early summer of 2003, the troops with whom I was embedded found several large arms caches. They contained, among other modern weapons, crates of Heckler and Koch MP5 sub machine guns. These are the weapons you see used by SWAT teams on TV and in the arms of elite units everywhere. The troops grabbed them, and used them for several weeks before they were forced to hand them over for the use of Iraqi security forces. The reason they were so keen wasn’t just because the H&Ks are accurate, reliable, and associated with “high speed” special forces. It was because unlike the G.I.s’ standard issue M16s and M4s, the H&K is ideal for the tight spaces of urban warfare – staircases, corridors, alleyways. Moreover they can be fired from inside an armored humvee or other vehicle without hitting a crew member in the face.Unfortunately this is not a factor that counts for much in a military-industrial bureaucracy awash in high tech, peacetime fantasies of networked warfare, and oblivious to the practicalities of fighting in hot dusty places, where reliance on sensitive electronic equipment can be deadly.

It is all very well to call on politicians to “support the troops.” The Pentagon should do likewise.

 

Rethinking Relationships:  Time to get tough with Turkey?

 

The United States should radically rethink its relationship with Turkey. For the sad fact is that Ankara no longer seems to be an ally worthy of the name — indeed its threatened invasion of Iraq would be the act of an outright enemy. Nor has Turkey behaved like a genuine ally for more than four years.

It’s not merely that Turkey refused at the last minute to let Coalition forces invade from the north in March 2003 — though that did affect the war and its aftermath in unfortunate ways. There have been other equally serious derelictions, ranging from the refusal to allow a damaged U.S. warplane to make an emergency landing in March 2003, to active subversion of the Coalition and the post-Saddam Iraqi authorities. Unfortunately, the Bush administration has consistently played these incidents down or ignored them, thereby encouraging Turkish bullishness and contempt for American neediness.

It was a sign of Turkish malevolence to come, when, in the spring of 2003, U.S. troops in northern Iraq twice captured units of Turkish special forces operating there out of uniform. The Turkish commandos had slipped across the border and were actively working to foment trouble, urging the tiny Turkmen minority to violence and hinting at support of Sunni Arab insurgent groups if they would take on the Kurdish Regional Government.

The first occasion was on April 23 in Kirkuk, the second, on July 4, was in Sulaymaniya. The latter was labeled “The Hood Incident” in Turkey and provoked public outrage because 173rd airborne troops supposedly hooded their Turkish captives — just as they hooded all other terrorist suspects. The Turkish government and public apparently saw nothing wrong in the illegal presence of un-uninformed Turkish troops in Sulaymaniya — even though they were apparently there to assassinate a Kurdish governor — and the incident subsequently inspired the viciously anti-American, anti-Semitic, and pro-insurgency Turkish hit movie Valley of the Wolves.

Then, as now, Turkey justified its violations of Iraqi territory by the presence in Northern of Iraq of separatist PKK guerillas (small numbers of Turkish troops have been based across the border for two decades), but the arrested Turkish troops were nowhere near the remote mountain areas where the PKK are said to have their bases.

Since those 2003 incidents, the Turkish armed forces have continued to foment ethnic strife in Kirkuk and other cities in Northern Iraq that have no connection with the Turkish-PKK struggle (The Turkish military even has funded, trained, and armed a militant group called the “Iraqi Turcomen Front” which was formerly sponsored by Saddam Hussein), and in July of this year yet another Turkish special forces unit was captured, again out of uniform.

These ongoing hostile acts have tended to erode any Iraqi Kurdish willingness to act against the PKK bases in Iraqi territory, as have Ankara’s demands for a suspiciously unlimited right to “hot pursuit” of the PKK terrorists.

Moreover, Turkish covert aggressions and attempts to intimidate the KRG are of such limited military utility in the struggle to suppress the PKK that they seem, both to the Iraqis and outside observers, to have more to do with the Turkish army’s intense paranoia about any measure of autonomy for any Kurds anywhere in the Middle East.

Worse, they reflect a strategic reality to which Washington and the West have turned a blind eye: Elements within the Turkish military covet the Kirkuk oil fields and much of Northern Iraq as a lost “Turkish” element of the Ottoman Empire. (Never mind that it’s conquest would bring even more Kurds and non-Turks under Ankara’s intolerant rule.)

This combination of irredentism and racism inspires Turkey’s brinkmanship on the Iraqi border at least as much as any legitimate security concerns. After all, if Turkey truly wanted to secure the cooperation of the Kurdish Regional Government — whose peshmerga troops have in fact battled the PKK in the past – in clearing PKK safe havens across the border, it would not be accompanying its threats of a massive invasion with a propaganda offensive, claiming that Iraqi Kurdish leaders have made territorial claims over parts of Turkey. Turkish Prime Minister Erdogan himself pointed out in June, before caving into military pressure, that:

There are 5,000 terrorists in the mountains in Turkey. Is the struggle against them over? Is this issue resolved so that we can come to dealing with the 500 terrorists in northern Iraq?

(This is not to underplay the nastiness of the formerly Syrian-backed Leninist PKK, nor to excuse its behavior because the Turkish military has so cruelly oppressed and abused the 10 million or more Kurds who live in the South East.)

The Turks know perfectly well that their publicized plan to send troops in as far as the capital Irbil would be resisted by the Kurdish Regional Government, would bring chaos to an area that has only just recovered from Saddam’s genocidal attacks, and essentially would start a whole new war in Iraq. The effect on the Coalition’s and Iraqi government’s efforts to stabilize the rest of the country would be catastrophic, not least because key Kurdish Iraqi Army units — the best and most reliable indigenous troops in the country – would race North from Baghdad and other places where they are needed to fight Sunni insurgents and Shia militias.

One irony of the situation is that the biggest foreign investors in the burgeoning economy of Iraqi Kurdistan are Turkish businesses. Yet the fate of this flourishing commerce seems of little concern to a Turkish military whose racist culture simply cannot bear the existence of a semi-autonomous Kurdish statelet, regardless of how benign it is or how profitable for the Turkish economy.

In any case it is inimical to the interests of the United States to tolerate a foreign military invasion of Iraq by any foreign power. Far too much blood and treasure has been expended in the Coalition effort to bring stability to post-Saddam Iraq to justify any but the toughest response to Turkey’s saber rattling. This is why the Bush administration should stop being so mealy-mouthed and immediately shift U.S. troops North — nominally to assist the KRG in efforts to expel the PKK, but mostly to make it clear to the Turkish military that invasion will come at a heavy cost — namely the destruction of any trace of friendship with Washington.

The United States should then initiate a policy that will have a powerful and salutary effect on the region: It should start to construct a massive military airbase in Iraqi Kurdistan itself.

This would kill several birds with one stone. It would enhance America’s ability to project force against enemies such as Syria and Iran. It would deter any future incursion into Iraq by Turks, Syrians, or Iranians. It would reassure and economically reward our Iraqi Kurdish allies — arguably our best and most useful friends in the region — who have long wanted such a physical sign of American commitment. Best of all the U.S. would no longer be subject to Turkish blackmail over the vital NATO airbase at Incirlik — blackmail that would probably be stepped up if we ever needed to use the Incirlik base for strikes against Iran or Syria. An America that no longer has to cringe and beg Turkey for the use of military facilities will probably enjoy a better, more balanced relationship with Ankara. (As elsewhere the perception of American weakness has provoked aggression and hostility) And the likelihood is that the airfield would remain a key American base, even if the worst case predictions about Iraq were to come to fruition.

Unfortunately, Turkey has powerful defenders on the Right here in the U.S. Some cleave to the dusty fantasy of Turkey as the model of a good, moderate, Westernized Muslim state: These have paid little or no attention to how much Turkey has changed over the last few years. Others are blinded to reality by nostalgia for the good old days when Turkey — or at least the Turkish military — was a genuinely stalwart American ally and a covert friend of Israel against Syria. Even now they choose to believe that the vaguely Islamist ruling party is the main problem rather than the Turkish military.

You might have thought that Turkey’s shifting of two armored divisions into invasion position on the border of a country where 150,000 U.S. troops are fighting to keep the peace, would disillusion these dogged Turcophiles. It hasn’t. Nor has the shelling of villages unconnected with the PKK. And nor has Turkey’s continued determination to attack America’s Kurdish allies, despite the reported dispatch of U.S. special forces against PKK leaders. The Turcophile tendency simply cannot see that the Turkish Army’s anti-Kurd animus matters to it more than the friendship of the United States, or admit that the Turkish military’s Kemalist secularism makes it no less a possible agent of regional instability. They mistakenly believe that the Turkish military liked us – when in fact they merely needed us as a bulwark against the Soviet Union. Worst of all they don’t see that the absence of a Soviet threat has liberated the most dangerous nationalistic — and indeed fascistic — tendencies of the Turkish military.

Of course it would require genuine courage on the part of the Bush administration in general and in particular from Secretary of State Rice, to even raise the idea. But once raised it would make it clear to Ankara that America has options in the region and that, like Turkey itself, America is not a slave to old friendships.

 

The Western media, wittingly or not, are aiding our enemies.

 

Islamabad — The week I was in Afghanistan this winter, two big stories hit the international press. The first involved the publication of photographs of German NATO troops apparently “desecrating” the remains of dead Afghans. The second was about the accidental killing of up to two hundred Afghan civilians in an allied airstrike. Both stories were sensational, unfairly reported, and illustrative of one of the most intractable difficulties that face the NATO-led ISAF Coalition in Afghanistan — and, indeed, the West generally in the “war on terror.”

The photographs of the Bundeswehr squad posing with shiny, white skulls and bones were immediately said to reveal an “atrocity.” More than two years old when they first surfaced in Germany at the end of October, the photos provoked a predictably anguished debate, both there and in other NATO states, about the brutalization of war, the foolishness of the mission in Afghanistan, and so forth.

Jumping to Conclusions

The accusation that 21st-century German soldiers were desecrating Muslim graves was a possibility transmuted into fact by a media that all too often — consciously or unconsciously — assumes the worst of Coalition forces and their mission in Afghanistan.

First of all, it was far from clear from the photos and initial reports whether the bones in question had been dug up by the soldiers or merely found on the ground. It is not hard to find skulls littering the rocky earth in the Konduz area where the Germans have their main base. The wrecked vehicles scattered about Konduz bear witness to the many battles fought in this part of Afghanistan over the years. Indeed, though the Northern Alliance battled the Taliban on a number of occasions here, it is most likely that any skulls the Germans found were actually those of Soviet troops — the mujahedeen did not usually trouble themselves to bury the bodies of their slain enemies. In other words, the remains that the Germans posed with were probably neither Muslim nor obtained by grave robbing, but had been bleaching under the sun for up to two decades before they inspired a juvenile digital photo-op.

The damage, however, was done. Though the “atrocity” might one day be refuted — most likely in some little-publicized investigation that takes months to unfold — the news had flashed around the world that German Coalition troops were treating Muslim corpses with contempt. The Western journalists who reported the story with such concerned relish may not have realized that by treating the photographs as prima facie evidence of a genuine scandal they were undermining the Coalition in Afghanistan, supporting the myth of “Islamophobia,” and fomenting anti-Western hatred. They probably thought they were just doing their jobs in the normal, “neutral” fashion.

Selective Skepticism

The second story is even more illustrative of the nearly impossible task faced by the Coalition — and the way the media make it even more difficult. In the last week of October, British and Canadian troops fighting the Taliban in Kandahar province were attacked near the Sperwan Ghar patrol base. As night fell on October 24, the NATO troops called in close air support against Taliban positions. According to local chiefs, a large number of civilians were killed in the bombing. Over the next couple of days the claims of civilian fatalities ranged from 20 to 200 — a telling discrepancy, and one that probably reflects the tendency of predominantly oral cultures like that of rural Afghanistan to foster rumor and exaggeration. ISAF spokesmen admitted that, of an estimated total 70 fatalities, some civilians might have been killed in the strike out (four wounded civilians were taken to Kandahar airbase for treatment). They doubted the “at least 89” number quoted by most media outlets, which was usually followed by the point that this was the largest number of civilian deaths in a single incident since 2002.

As NATO officers privately complained, no one could be sure of the truth in the immediate aftermath of the air strike. Because of the Muslim practice of burying the dead within 24 hours, there are often no bodies to be found in incidents like this. Moreover it is the standard operating procedure of the Taliban to “sanitize” or remove weapons from the corpses of any slain or wounded members they don’t take away — so you can be sure that a civilian fatality really is a civilian only if the corpse is that of a small child or a woman.

A knowledgeable, thoughtful, and clear-eyed reporter might also consider that local civilians in areas dominated by the Taliban almost always claim that there are no Taliban, and have never been any Taliban, in their area. They make this claim out of either fear or loyalty. During fierce fighting in September in the same Panjwayi area, the local elders also claimed, absurdly, that there were no Taliban around, even though more than 500 of them were killed in pitched battles there and the area is at the center of the movement’s heartland.

More important, it is standard operating procedure of the Islamists in Afghanistan — as it is in Lebanon and Gaza and Iraq — to claim that all casualties on their side are civilians. Indeed, the Taliban would be grossly incompetant at asymmetric and information warfare if they didn’t make that claim. (Just as al Qaeda operatives and sympathizers would be foolish if they did not cry “torture” when detained at Gitmo or elsewhere.)

After all, it would be a huge propaganda victory for the Taliban and their allies to create the impression that Coalition troops routinely or increasingly kill large numbers of civilians. Once established as a media “fact,” such an impression would not only undermine the Afghan government and ISAF, but it could also affect the strategic, and very real, battle for hearts and minds in Europe and the United States.

Make no mistake, the Taliban and their allies, like the Sunni insurgents in Iraq, know perfectly well that they don’t have to defeat the Coalition militarily; all they have to do is undermine the political will of the Western electorates.

You might expect journalists to take some note of these practices and of the propaganda element of the war, and accordingly to exercise a little caution, if not skepticism, before they unquestioningly parrot an allegation of mass civilian deaths. (Surely they must be aware that reports of an atrocity can have enormous real world effects? Surely they have some sense that various Afghan players might lie in order to advance their cause?) Generally, however, they do not. For the most part, Taliban claims are assumed to be true. Statements by Coalition spokesmen, on the other hand, are a different matter. Such officials are said to make “claims,” and they are essentially assumed to be propagandists, if not flat out liars, by many correspondents (who won’t say as much in print, of course, but ask them about it over a drink).

It is one of the ironies of our time that members of the media are so hypersensitive to being used or manipulated by any official person from their own society — military officials, government spokesmen, etc. — but can be as naïve as children when it comes to voices from other cultures. This would almost be laughable, if it weren’t so pathetic — and so poisonous. For instance, the BBC loves to quote Iraqi doctors about Coalition-inflicted casualties, apparently oblivious of the fact that the Iraqi medical profession was open almost exclusively to Baathists, is predominantly Sunni, and did extremely well under Saddam.

There is sometimes a strange, sentimental, inverted racism at work in this: Surely such simple, ardent, technologically unsophisticated people — like the mullah who speaks for the village, or the weeping mother who swears her slain son was a good boy and would never have shot at the soldiers — wouldn’t tell lies? While there is no justification for reverting to Edwardian-era bigotry and assuming that all Orientals, especially South Asians, are compulsive liars, it would be equally wrong to assume the opposite or to ignore the role of rumor and the likelihood of deceit in a place like Afghanistan.

Where’s the Competence

In general the mainstream media have taken even longer to understand asymmetric warfare in the instant-information age than the U.S. military. Their understanding of traditional military concepts is abysmal enough. It is a painful fact that many contemporary war correspondents know virtually nothing of military ranks, weapons, and tactics. Someone who calls the dropping of a single JDAM “carpet bombing” and who doesn’t know if a company is larger or smaller than a battalion is hardly likely to be able to tell the difference between genuine “collateral damage” — the unwitting, and in some cases avoidable, killing of non-combatants — and a deliberate massacre.

Nor do many reporters get that the U.S. and its allies are fighting an enemy that thinks nothing of using ambulances to ferry troops and ammunition (as the Marines discovered to their cost in Fallujah; when they eventually fired on the ambulance/troop carriers, the BBC accused them of war crimes.) It is an enemy that routinely employs hospitals, museums, schools, and mosques as firing positions, and exploits Western sensibilities and legal norms by using women and children as human shields. Such tactics inevitably lead to civilian casualties (which is why they are illegal under the laws of war). But they make total, terrible sense if you are al Qaeda or Hezbollah.

You are more likely to win on the ground if the Americans or Brits or Israelis refrain from firing on your ambulance/mosque/school packed with fighters; and if they do fire on you, you win in the propaganda battle. The pictures on al Jazeera and CNN of a smoking ambulance or corpse of a child are worth the deaths of the fighters and their civilian shields.

Much reporting from the field fails to take into account the fact that the traditional legal distinction between civilian and non-civilian has little bearing on the reality of war in places like Afghanistan and Iraq. A more relevant and sensible distinction might be between combatant and non-combatant. After all, the Taliban, like their insurgent cousins in Iraq, are civilians in arms who don’t wear uniforms — thus putting civilian non-combatants in jeopardy and breaching the Geneva Convention. Moreover, more than a few of the attacks against Coalition and Afghan army forces are carried out by civilian Pashtuns who are not even members of the Taliban, but mere opportunists — indebted farmers, unemployed youths — who have been paid well to take a potshot or two at a passing patrol.

Communication Failure

The U.S. military information-apparatus has so far failed to make Western publics or the press understand the implications of all this. It is a failure that has strategic implications. Unfortunately it may be impossible for allied spokesmen to overcome the naïveté, faux or otherwise, of the mainstream media. Too many establishment journalists live in a mental world dominated by the reporting tropes of the later Vietnam War: “five o’clock follies,” lame attempts at censorship, demoralized draftees “fragging” officers, exaggerated body counts, Pentagon lies, and virtuous Viet Cong patriots. Too few of them have a genuine understanding of either military culture or the third-world cultures of areas in which our wars are taking place.

At the end of my visit to Afghanistan, I sat in on at a press conference at the huge Bagram airbase where the local representatives of the international media pressed General James L. Jones, then supreme commander of NATO, about the latest news in the war. “Isn’t it true that the civilian casualties and the skulls incident have undermined NATO’s efforts to win hearts and minds,” asked one reporter for a top news agency. The assumption behind his question was that these stories had already reached small, rural villages and that such stories have the power to undermine the building of roads and schools. More tellingly, the question treated the existence of the stories and the impressions they created as something uncontrollable and inevitable, rather than something for which he and his colleagues bore responsibility. The general calmly pointed out that the enemy uses civilians as human shields and likes to spread lies about the Coalition — points that made no impact on the assembled press — then personally apologized for any civilian deaths and, rightly, promised a full investigation.

It may turn out that the reports were accurate, that allied airmen did indeed kill a large number of civilians because of faulty intelligence or some other aspect of the fog of war. But if the 90 to 200 so-called civilian deaths were either mythical or primarily composed of Taliban warriors, the press that was so sure of allied guilt will have acted once again as an unwitting ally of some very nasty people.

– Jonathan Foreman is a reporter who has covered the war from Iraq and Afghanistan.

National Review May 17 2007

 

Has the Surge made life better in Iraq? Even folks like Angelina Jolie — no fan of President Bush — are admitting that it has, writes Jonathan Foreman.

March 17, 2008 The “Surge” has not “won” the war at a stroke. It has not brought all of America’s troops home. It has not enabled Iraqi parliamentarians to pass every single “benchmark” law that the US President and Congress would like them to, in particular a hydrocarbon law that amounts to a grand constitutional settlement, though three key reconciliation laws were passed in February. It has not undone the damage of four years of war or brought anyone back to life.

Apparently that makes the Surge a failure, even though no proponents of the Surge claimed it would achieve all these wonderful things, much less achieve them by March 2008.

Of course the Surge was always a bad idea, according to some very smart people, some of them members of the military or the Bush administration. Wesley Clark was sure it would backfire. Dennis Kucinich said it would cause a war with Iran. Chuck Hagel labeled it “the most dangerous foreign policy blunder since Vietnam.”

Other people worried that the Surge would be too small to achieve the aims of the “new way forward,” of which the troop increase was a part. This group included the architects of the new overall strategy, like retired General Jack Keane, and also Sen. John McCain. Eventually Bush decided to send 30,000 additional troops instead of just 20,000.

Very quickly the term “Surge” came to stand for the whole new strategy as well as the deployment to Iraq of five new brigades. Just as quickly the Surge was deemed to have failed. “This war is lost and the Surge is not accomplishing anything,” declared Sen. Harry Read on April 19th 2007, before even half the new troops had arrived, and two months before surge operations officially began. The fifth of the five new brigades was still not in theater in June 2007, when Sen. Joe Biden announced that “the Surge has not worked and will not work.”

That was then and this is now. And here in the real world, the Surge seems to be responsible for, or at least linked to a wide variety of positive developments in Iraq. Sectarian deaths are down over 50% (more than 80% in Baghdad) compared to late 2006. Attacks on civilians are down over 50%. Attacks on Coalition and Iraqi forces are down 90%. Things are so much better in Fallujah, the former epicenter of Sunni insurgency, that there are only 250 US marines there, instead of the 3,000 garrisoning the city at the beginning of last summer.

If you don’t believe these numbers — and there is often good reason for skepticism about statistics from Iraq, whether they are the fantasy death tolls dreamed by Britain’s Lancet or the statistics collected by US and Iraqi authorities — then the data collected by anti-war groups like icasualty.org also seem to indicate a precipitous drop.

Despite an uptick over the last few days, the steep descent into sectarian civil war that seemed inevitable after the al Qaeda/Sunni terrorist attack on the Shiite mosque in Samarra in February 2006, seems less inevitable now. The cruel cycle of Sunni bomb attacks on Shiite civilians followed by Shiite reprisals against random Sunnis has slowed dramatically: In Baghdad the authorities had found 43 bodies a day at the end of 2006 they now find about an average of four.

There is also much anecdotal evidence for a transformation of life in both Anbar province and Baghdad. The refugees (most of whom are Sunni) are trickling back from Jordan and Syria. The actress and UNHCR ambassador Angelina Jolie, no friend of the Bush administration, came back from Iraq [1]happy that UN and NGO officials feel that conditions are finally safe enough to expand humanitarian activity. The BBC, not an institution known for pro-American leanings, reports that [2]“all across Baghdad…streets are springing back to life… Everybody agrees that things are much better.” My own Iraqi friends confirm that their Baghdad neighborhoods are overwhelmingly quieter and safer than in 2006.

On that note it may be instructive that most of the arguments made for the failure of the Surge make little or no reference to Iraqi perceptions. After all, it would not be hard for pundits now bashing the surge to contact Iraqi leaders to ask what they think about it. However, Iraqi voices continue to be strangely absent from the mainstream media debate about the war, and the anti-war movement prefers to ignore the inconvenient existence of a democratically elected parliament and government in Baghdad.

You could mount a plausible argument that the rate of violence might have dropped anyway even if the Surge hadn’t been implemented. It may be that sheer exhaustion was already overwhelming the Sunni insurgents and the communities from which they came. Presumably the prospect of undoing the overthrow of the Saddam regime and restoring Sunni hegemony was beginning to seem remote even to insurgents whose monitoring of US politics hinted at an imminent Coalition departure.

It’s probably true that some of the peace that has descended on Baghdad reflects the completion of ethnic cleansing in formerly mixed neighborhoods, though it’s not true that “less people are being killed because there are less people to kill” as claimed by [3]one widely-quoted pro-insurgency writer.

It is definitely true that the Anbar tribes were already alienated by the arrogance and brutality of their erstwhile al Qaeda allies from Saudi Arabia and elsewhere. It is also true that US commanders in the West like Col. Sean MacFarland had begun to recruit and co-opt the tribes before the surge began or General Petraeus returned to implement his doctrinal revolution. As a result, places like Ramadi had been pacified by Spring 2007.

(This process involved paying relatively large sums of money to lubricate or solidify new alliances that led to tribal attacks on al Qaeda nests. This is sometimes portrayed as a form of “cheating” that somehow undermines the claims of the Surge rather than traditional counter-insurgency practice with a history that goes back at least to Roman times. The use of tribal subsidies and the recruitment of former hostiles as auxiliary forces are hardly without risk, but the program has rightly been adopted by Petraeus’ commanders in other parts of the country including Baghdad.)

But even conceding all this, it seems more than likely that the Surge powerfully reinforced pre-existing positive trends and counter-insurgency gambits. At the same time, the additional five brigades meant that it was possible to implement a coherent and effective counter-insurgency and training strategy. There were finally enough boots on the ground to re-establish order in the capital, while simultaneously attacking al Qaeda bases in the suburbs and other cities. There were enough troops to “embed” US forces in Iraqi units, enough troops to establish small joint bases in formerly lawless areas, and enough troops for Generals Petraeus and Odierno to mount a series of devastatingly effective though little reported offensives.

Finally it seems unlikely that the evidence of the Surge’s success did not influence Moqtadr al Sadr when declared his ‘ceasefire’ last August, and extended it a further six months in February. American forces had badly bloodied his Mahdi Army militias while simultaneously fighting Sunni insurgents and al Qaeda forces in Baghdad and Diyala. Their success, together with Iraqi security forces, in suppressing Sunni terrorism and restoring order in Shia areas, meant that some local Shiites concluded that they no longer needed the vicious and corrupt Mahdi Army to protect them.

But perhaps the most important achievement of the Surge is the one least understood or discussed in the US, and that is its moral effect on Iraqis and, to some extend, Americans fighting in Iraq. At the end of 2006, calls for an immediate withdrawal from Iraq were reaching a crescendo. Every time a major US politician echoed those calls, or even demanded a fixed date for withdrawal it had a significant effect on the morale of all sides in Iraq. (Among other consequences, the rate of attacks would rise and intelligence would dry up.)

Then to the surprise of everyone in the region, the US didn’t run away and abandon Iraq to a prospect of genocidal civil war and invasion. Instead they sent more troops. (These troops employed better tactics and didn’t disappear from the scene of successful engagements to the safety of huge fortified bases.) The symbolism was obvious and subverts a familiar narrative of American inconstancy and lack of moral courage. It helps to explain why tens of thousands of Sunnis have joined the so-called “Awakening” groups, and that Moqtadr al Sadr has retreated to Iran. The new perception of American strength of will is arguably a massive force multiplier, but it could all too easily be undermined by certain currents in American domestic politics.

You can see this most depressingly in a widely cited article by Michael Kinsley [4]which asserts that the Surge is a not a success because it has not ended quickly enough. Kinsley concedes, in a sarcastic tone that “the surge is a terrific success. Choose your metric: attacks on American soldiers, car bombs, civilian deaths, potholes. They’re all down, down, down. Lattes sold by street vendors are up. Performances of Shakespeare by local repertory companies have tripled.”

The irony is amusing in a way, though its implications reveal something ugly. For him the metrics are a joke. Either because he can’t imagine or empathize with the suffering inflicted by a marketplace bomb or an IED, or because the lives of Iraqis and of American troops simply don’t count compared to a rhetorical point scored against a hated President.

URL to original article: http://pjmedia.com/blog/what_has_the_surge_really_achi/

URLs in this post:

[1] came back from Iraq : http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/02/27/AR2008022702217.html

[2] reports that : http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/7089168.stm

[3] claimed by : http://dandelionsalad.wordpress.com/2007/11/30/terror-is-a-tactic-interview-with-nir-rosen-by-mike-whitney/

[4] article by Michael Kinsley : http://www.slate.com/id/2184890/

 

(Winner of the 2009 SAJA award for  outstanding editorial/commentary on South Asia, or South Asians in North America)

Jan. 28       In the days since Benazir Bhutto’s assassination, much has been revealed, though little about the murder itself. Its culprits and even its means remain a mystery shrouded in rumor. What did become all too clear in the aftermath of the murder was the gullibility — and sometimes the dishonesty — of Benazir’s many influential Western friends, in particular the journalists she cultivated so brilliantly.

The torrents of sorrowful praise for Benazir — much of it in the form of solipsistic articles with titles like “The Benazir I Knew” — testify to the Anglophone media’s blinding vulnerability to a certain kind of glamour. It’s a glamour that has everything to do with power, money, and proximity to great political drama, as well as Benazir’s good looks and unthreatening Easternness. One pundit has called her “Ahmed Chalabi in lipstick,” but Chalabi is unlikely to be the subject of gilded reminiscences by Tina Brown and a herd of influential fiftysomething graduates of Oxford and Harvard.

Furthermore, unlike the controversial Iraqi, Benazir had been a world-famous figure since her early 20s, and the record from her two terms in office can be set against her rhetoric of democracy and women’s rights. And like so many children of foreign leaders and kleptocrats who go to American or British colleges for polishing, Benazir came from a class background that few of her elegant friends would have understood or sympathized with.

The giant mausoleum was the giveaway. Most of the news cameras at her funeral focused on the crowds of supporters and family retainers performing the rite of public grief. But the few shots of the Bhutto mausoleum near Larkhana, where Benazir is now buried next to her “martyred” father, showed a multi-domed building on the scale of the Taj Mahal towering over the plains of Sindh. It’s rare for foreigners to get a visual sense of what it means when Pakistanis talk about “feudal families” — the private armies and prisons, the tenants voting for the family’s preferred candidate under watchful eyes. But this was it: a marble manifestation of Pakistani feudalism as it has evolved for a theoretically democratic age.

If the sight of the mausoleum wasn’t enough to undermine the modern, progressive image that Benazir had constructed with the help of her Western friends, then the bizarre succession process within her Pakistan Peoples Party (PPP) ought to have done the trick. Apparently the PPP’s “Chairperson for Life” wrote a “political will” in October and entrusted it to her Filipina servant Seeta. This was duly read out to the family and party faithful on December 30 by Benazir’s 19-year-old son, Bilawal. It anointed her semi-estranged husband, Asif Ali Zardari, as her successor (together with Makhdoom Amin Fahim, the deputy chairman of the party).

Zardari, who seemed impressively untroubled by grief, then announced that he would be a sort of regent until Bilawal was ready to inherit his mother’s mantle (25 is the minimum age for electoral office in Pakistan). He also announced that all three of Benazir’s children would be adding Bhutto to their surname. (Benazir had kept her maiden name for similar political reasons.)

People often refer to the PPP as Pakistan’s only genuine mass political party, but it isn’t really a political party in the Western democratic sense. Founded as the Sindh Peoples Party by Benazir’s grandfather, Sir Shahnawaz Bhutto, it has never had an internal election. It enjoys a huge and faithful mass following largely because of her father Zulfikar Bhutto’s brilliant but faithless populism. A convert to democracy after serving in Gen. Ayub Khan’s dictatorship, Bhutto promised massive land reform but failed to deliver in any significant sense, and he invented a doctrine of “Islamic socialism” that all but destroyed Pakistan’s economy. A kind of Pakistani Peron before he flagrantly rigged the 1977 election and was deposed in a coup, Zulfikar fatally politicized the efficient and honest civil service Pakistan had inherited from the British Raj. It was also Bhutto pere who made Red China the key arms supplier of Pakistan, sponsored the first Islamist revolutionaries in Afghanistan, bombed Baluchi separatists into submission, and initiated Pakistan’s nuclear-weapons program.

Benazir worshipped her charismatic father, who was hanged in front of her by Gen. Zia ul-Haq in 1979. Like him, she switched political stances easily depending on circumstance and the requirements of power. Unlike his administrations, however, hers were marked by spectacular corruption and incompetence.

It isn’t clear how much Benazir knew about the activities of her husband, whose nickname, thanks to the kickbacks he took, was “Mr. 10 Percent,” and whom she appointed investment minister even though he’d recently been jailed on extortion charges. Contemporary legend had it that Benazir was in the sexual thrall of the gangsterish former playboy, and that whenever she confronted him with a dereliction he would take her to bed and the matter would be forgotten. Certainly, once in exile she showed little compunction about living off the $1.5 billion the couple allegedly looted from the Pakistani treasury. (The family still owns $1 billion in property around the world.)

 

If that’s not bad enough, Zardari is widely believed to have been responsible for the murder of Benazir’s brother Murtaza in 1996, an affair that recalls the savage dynastic struggles of the Borgias or the khanates of Central Asia. The former leader of the PPP’s armed wing, Murtaza had recently returned from exile in the Levant. He was seeking to wrest control of the PPP from Benazir and Zardari when the Karachi police gunned him down. Benazir was PM at the time, and Zardari effectively ran Karachi, the nation’s largest city. The ambush — which involved a roadblock, snipers in trees, and the cutting of electricity to part of the city — could hardly have taken place without the nod of Zardari and his proteges. Though Benazir would claim that Murtaza was the victim of the ISI (Pakistan’s main intelligence agency) or of General Zia’s loyalists, her government subsequently promoted all the police officials involved in her brother’s killing.

As prime minister, Bhutto did nothing for women’s rights, or even for the other aristocratic women who flocked to the PPP. She told preposterous lies, such as her claim to have installed computers in every school in Pakistan. She appointed the fiercely anti-American Islamist general Hamid Gul as chief of the ISI. (He was reportedly on the list of alleged conspirators Benazir gave Musharraf after the October 2007 bomb attack on her motorcade, and was arrested by Musharraf in November.)

Glamour, yes — but corruption and incompetence, too

It may be true, as some of her defenders argue, that during her two administrations Benazir was in no position to challenge the army’s enthusiasm for the Taliban or for sponsoring terrorism in Indian Kashmir. It’s harder to defend her on the issue of nuclear proliferation. The author Shyam Bhatia says that Benazir told him she had personally delivered nuclear-warhead designs to North Korea in return for missile technology. Nor is it clear that her later pro-American conversion was anything more than a means to an end, which makes it all the more ironic that so many voices have blamed America for somehow forcing her to return to her doom.

One of those voices is that of Imran Khan, the cricketer and socialite–turned–politician. After the assassination, he promptly denounced Musharraf — who had recently had him arrested — as the real author of the crime and claimed that the convoy of Pakistan’s other major opposition leader, Nawaz Sharif, had also been attacked on the day of Bhutto’s death. The alleged Sharif attack, as well as an alleged assault on the hospital where Benazir was taken after the bomb, was frequently cited in news reports over the next few days. Sharif himself has never mentioned any such attempt, though he was quick to denounce Musharraf for Benazir’s killing. The multiple-assassination scenario now seems to have vanished to the farthest reaches of the Internet.

Almost everyone in Pakistan who said anything about the attack said something ridiculous, whether it was the PPP official who revealed that Benazir’s last words were “Long live Bhutto” or the interior ministry’s farcical assertions about death by a Landcruiser sun-roof lever. The latter theory, along with dubious claims about specific al-Qaeda and Taliban plots, illustrates the stupidity and habitual disingenuousness of some of Musharraf’s officials, and has served only to damage his government. These assertions do not, however, render the more paranoid claims of PPP officials (or Nawaz Sharif) any more credible. The whole incident is made even murkier by Zardari’s mysterious refusal to allow an autopsy before Bhutto was buried. (While autopsies are seen as disrespectful in more conservative corners of Pakistani society, in this case it surely would have been appropriate.) One PPP official has even claimed that Benazir was killed using some kind of high-tech laser device — implying again an ISI hit squad, perhaps using U.S. technology.

Just as silly is the observation made by many foreign commentators that, because the assassination took place in Rawalpindi, where the Pakistani military has its headquarters, the murderers must have had some kind of official links. Otherwise, how could they have eluded military security? But ’Pindi is a big, unruly city of 3 million people, not a small garrison town, and has long been a place of violent ferment. (The park where Benazir was killed was the site of PM Liaquat Ali Khan’s assassination in 1951.) The police, not the army, maintain security in Rawalpindi, and the ’Pindi police are a byword throughout South Asia for incompetence and corruption. Musharraf himself has been subject to three major assassination attempts in ’Pindi, and even the ISI was attacked there this fall, with two suicide bombings against buses filled with its officers.

Many commentators who dismissed the idea of democracy in Iraq have been peculiarly pious about it in Pakistan, claiming that it is the only cure for the country’s ills. There is certainly a democratic deficit in Pakistan, but it is perhaps less important than the country’s governance deficit — the failure of the state to function with minimal efficiency, honesty, and compassion. The same problem exists around the region. It’s worse in Nepal, not quite so bad in India, but similar everywhere: government schools that exist only on paper; clinics bereft of medicine because government doctors sell it at the bazaar; rural clinics where the doctor never turns up; police whose primary job is extorting bribes and who do the will of the wealthy; corruption that endlessly erodes the trust between individuals and the state.

For all his faults, Musharraf has been far better than any of his predecessors, civilian or military, when it comes to taking seriously the duties of government. If you go to remote areas of Pakistan, people will tell you about his audit of 1999, when he sent officers to see if schools and clinics on the government books really existed. It was often the first time an official from Pakistan’s central government had ever visited these villages.

That said, some of the retired officers Musharraf appointed to various ministries turned out to be just as crooked or incompetent as ordinary civilian bureaucrats. Moreover, nothing excuses Musharraf’s ill-judged and destructive attacks on what passes for civil society, or the shameful brutality of his battle with a group of dissident lawyers. Yet his many flaws do not nullify his achievements or mean that any alternative must be superior.

Could elements of the ISI have been involved in Benazir’s murder? Of course. But the long list of plausible suspects includes al-Qaeda, some local branch of the Taliban, various Bhutto relatives, and some of the Sunni militant groups that considered her a Shiite heretic because her mother is Iranian.

Whatever the truth of the assassination, and despite Benazir’s many faults, the fact remains that her death is a disaster for both Pakistan and the United States. Certainly it leaves a far narrower choice between relative evils in a country that requires wise and skillful leadership if it is to survive as a functioning state.

 

See also:

After Bhutto – NR Symposium December 27, 2007

 

 

 

Booby Prize

Aravind Adiga was born in India but grew up in Australia and America; Rohinton Mistry was born in India but emigrated to Canada. Both have written novels that take a hard look at modern India. Mistry was shortlisted for the Booker Prize in 1991 for Such a Long Journey, in 1996 for A Fine Balance, and in 2002 for Family Matters. Aravind Adiga has won the 2008 Man Booker Prize for his debut novel, White Tiger.

The difference between the two authors and their works is that Mistry’s non-winners are the best novels written about modern India. Indeed, his brilliantly wrought, densely detailed, utterly convincing and devastatingly powerful A Fine Balance is a masterpiece that stands comparison with the greatest works of the 20th century. White Tiger, on the other hand, reads like the work of an ambitious student in an American creative writing class. Though its heart or at least its politics are in the right place – the same outraged place as Mistry’s or VS Naipaul’s when he wrote India – A Wounded Civilization – the fact that White Tiger won this year makes a mockery of the Man Booker Prize and monkeys of the panel of judges.

White Tiger’s conceit is that it is a letter to Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao from an Indian chauffeur-turned-murderer-turned-entrepreneur. It begins in a poor village in Bihar state, where the state school has no books because the government-appointed teacher has sold them. The narrator, Balram, is the son of a rickshaw puller. Employed as a driver by the US-educated son of the village’s powerful landlords, he is taken to live in a Delhi suburb where he develops a murderous hatred of his master.

Balram and all the book’s characters refer to impoverished, ignorant and violent village India, where most of the sub-continent’s people still live, as “the Darkness”. What makes this novel unusual among the many that have recently poured from the sub-continent, is the way it holds little truck with the relentlessly shiny picture of contemporary India peddled by its political and literary boosters and, sadly, by many of the foreign correspondents living the good life in New Delhi. Adiga has noticed that the India that gets most of the attention abroad – and indeed at home – is that of a tiny English-speaking upper- and middle-class minority, and that the great majority of Indians live in a very different world or worlds. This fact is apparently such a revelation to some reviewers of White Tiger that they have mistaken it for a powerful and original work by a brilliant new voice.

It is certainly to Adiga’s credit that, unlike so many observers, he actually focuses on the millions of poor, thin, dark men squatting in the shadow of sparkling new suburbs. It’s also to his credit that unlike India’s elite leftists he knows that the worst misery is not the product of economic growth, but exists in places as yet untouched by free-market deregulation. He sees past all the propaganda about “the world’s greatest democracy” to the long-term failure of the Indian state to provide the masses with the most basic services. He also senses the anger that explains phenomena such as India’s growing Maoist insurgency and the paranoia about murders by servants.

But Adiga’s narrator never quite convinces as a semi-literate villager in the big city. Too often the details of “the Darkness” ring false. Unlike in the work of Arundhati Roy, Mistry or Naipaul, the smells, sounds and colours of “the Darkness” lack the necessary texture. White Tiger often reads as if its author has little first-hand knowledge of village life or the servant’s world.

White Tiger is reasonably entertaining, but it is a mystery how such a book could win the Man Booker. Perhaps the jurors, consciously or unconsciously, made their selection based on criteria other than literary quality: one suspects that had Adiga been white and middle-aged – easy to imagine in this case – he would not have won.

 

The Mumbai slums where Danny Boyle shot Slumdog Millionaire are a world of surprises. There are the gaggles of uniformed schoolchildren running through unpaved streets, satchels bouncing on their skinny backs – they study only in the morning or afternoon so they can work for a living the rest of the day. There are the Dickensian factories and workshops you come upon as you stumble down all but lightless alleyways. There is the general feeling of security – despite their scary reputation among middle-class Mumbaikars, and the rarity of policemen, the slums are as safe for outsiders to walk through as most other neighbourhoods of the city. Most of all, there is the strange way that the slums seem much less grim once you are actually inside them.

The population of Mumbai is at least 21 million, according to the last, inadequate census. More than half of them live in the city’s 2,000-odd slums. Here, the term “slum” is a technical one. It does not just mean a poor or rundown area. It signifies a shantytown that has encroached on otherwise unoccupied public or private land. The slums are vast because they are made up of the hand-built homes of the millions who have come from all over India seeking work and a better life. Small new slums quickly grow around construction sites for buildings or new motorways to house the workers putting them up. Others appear suddenly on railway land or in areas left derelict by the closing of mills and factories that were once the economic engine of the city.

Though some well-heeled Mumbaikars resent the way many foreigners seem overly concerned with the slums, rather than impressed by the city’s new skyscrapers, it is impossible not to notice them: the road from the airport goes past one of the worst, its shanties lining both sides of the highway. You can smell it long before and after you see it. Moreover, some of the city’s smartest areas are abutted by slums.

The newer slums are like early-stage refugee camps: clusters of flimsy huts with blue tarpaulin roofs. The Mumbai-Hindi term for a slum – jhopadpatti – basically means a strip of huts (slumdwellers are jhopadpattiwallahs). In the older slums, mud huts have been replaced by brick houses, and floors added to make room for more workshops and bedrooms.

The worst corners are those that border on open land where the municipality dumps trash. I came upon one such corner on the edge of the Antop Hill slum, the area briefly seen in Slumdog Millionaire, when the hero meets his gangster brother at the top of a fancy new skyscraper. I walked from a newly-paved main street within the slum to a rubbish dump where children were picking rags. Here brick structures with corrugated iron roofs gave way to mud ones with tarpaulin covers. A municipal bulldozer sat motionless in a muddy, foul-smelling creek. Crowds of children ran out of the shacks to see the first foreigners to come to this part of the slum. All were clean-faced and wearing bright, clean clothes. One plump boy of about nine practised his English with me. I said to his aunt, who came from Uttar Pradesh in northern India, that the children were beautiful. She replied: “How can they be beautiful children when they are born and brought up in trash?”

The oldest and most infamous slum in Mumbai is Dharavi, the “Queen of Slums”, which grew up around a fishing village on one of the city’s original islands, beginning about 100 years ago. Sitting squarely in the centre of Mumbai, it is also the city’s most prosperous slum; people actually commute to it for work.

Entering Dharavi via a narrow path, I found myself in a large complex of two- and three-storey workshops where young workers were recycling plastic rubbish. They were separating it by colour and quality, cleaning it, chopping it up and eventually melting it, all by hand. I climbed up to a rooftop spread with white plastic chips. The uneven roofs of the slum stretched out for what looked like miles, broken only by the minarets of mosques.

Further inside the slum, walking carefully along pathways less than two feet wide, I came to a small cavern with a furnace in the middle. Teenage boys were taking thin, tinsel-like aluminium strips from piles of sacks and turning them into ingots. The fumes were overpowering but the boys, their dark hair glittering with tiny specks of aluminium, wore no masks. Moving on, I came to a small open area with a tea shop, and then an alley that led on to a wider path and eventually to a road wide enough for a car. The people in this corner of the slum were Muslim: many of the men wore beards and white hats and there were women wearing full black burqas. While Muslims make up 17 per cent of the population of Mumbai, they probably account for 35 per cent of Dharavi’s.

Since Slumdog Millionaire, the Mumbai press has rediscovered Dharavi, because the book on which it is based is set there (Boyle filmed in several slums around the city to create one that stands for them all). “Until the ’80s, we used to write a lot about these things,” says Kalpana Sharma, former Mumbai bureau chief of The Hindu and author of Rediscovering Dharavi. Then they simply dropped off the media’s radar.

Dharavi is often called the largest slum in Asia, though several other Mumbai slums house just as many people – probably about a million – and stretch at least as far. It is crossed by two main roads, named according to their widths: “60 foot road” and “90 foot road”. On one side it is bordered by huge pipes that lead into a canal carrying sewage. The oldest part is an area inhabited by potters from Gujarat who have been there for more than half a century. Not far away is a community of Tamil leather workers, Muslims and low-caste Hindus, who all come from the same area of Tamil Nadu. Their neighbourhood looks, feels and smells like a small south Indian village.

Dharavi has long had a reputation for gangsterism, largely because it was a headquarters for illegal distilling and liquor smuggling during the three decades when alcohol was prohibited. The city’s mafias were decimated by police death squads and inter-gang warfare in the mid-1990s. Liberalisation dealt the coup de grâce: people no longer had to go to bootleggers to buy DVDs or Scotch. Within Dharavi, rates of petty crime are very low. There are too many eyes on the street for strangers to come in unnoticed or for muggers and thieves to get far.

Krishna Poojavi, my guide, told me that 71 per cent of the people here are said to have access to public lavatories; the rest use open ground. He said this was particularly hard for the women, who have to perform their ablutions before sunrise.

Krishna and his British partner at Reality Tours run a school in Dharavi. He told me that the children liked Slumdog Millionaire – they saw the Hindi version – but hated the name “slumdog”, as do slumdweller organisations. This is understandable. The term was invented by the screenwriter, Simon Beaufoy, who seems to have ignorantly assumed that it would be believable as a derogatory but semi-affectionate nickname for young slumdwellers. But even “slumrat” might have been less offensive. You won’t ever hear the word “dog” used affectionately in India. Unlike monkeys, elephants and of course cows, dogs have no religious significance and are disliked by both Muslims and Hindus. There are stray dogs everywhere you look in most Indian cities; though rarely dangerous, they are feared and persecuted. In 2007 the city of Bangalore sponsored the mass killing of tens of thousands of them.

The land beneath Dharavi is potentially enormously valuable. The municipality has a multibillion-dollar plan to demolish it, sell it to developers and rehouse those inhabitants who can prove they were living there before 2000. There is considerable opposition to the plan within the slum: the government promises to provide only 265 square feet per family and many jobs will be lost if all the factories and workshops are demolished.

The “legal” slums – those squatter camps and shantytowns that existed before 1995 – have a theoretical right to basic services, including water, sanitation, policing, the fire brigade and rubbish disposal. These services may be provided only fitfully and inadequately, but in places like Dharavi, water flows to the standpipes for four hours a day and electricity powers the TVs found even in the tiniest huts. These shantytowns cannot be demolished or moved without warning and compensation. This is not the case for the hundreds of thousands of pavement shacks put up by recent arrivals in the city, or the even poorer people who sleep on rags without any shelter. For them, to live in the slums is a dream.

This is not to say that the slums are not physically squalid and oppressive. They are. If anything, they are worse than you might imagine from the film. Its slum scenes, powerful and painful though they are, simply cannot convey the feel of the grit on your skin and the acrid smoke and fumes that assault your eyes. Most of all, you cannot imagine the smells. I found that the prevailing odour was not that of excrement, except when I passed an open drain or one of the evil-looking sewage-filled canals. It was the overpowering stench of rotting rubbish. In an older, more established section of the Antop Hill slum, a young bearded man in a clean white kurta pyjama introduced himself as Taj Mohammed, a local leader and third-generation resident. He showed us around his neighbourhood, beginning with the public lavatory and ending with one of three back-street cinemas. All the concrete or brick buildings were raised a few feet above the ground to protect the inhabitants from monsoon flooding. “The toilet costs two rupees. The video costs 10 rupees,” he said. (A standard bus fare is three rupees – and there are about 70 rupees to the pound.) There were many signs advertising mobile phones. Echoing the film, which he had not seen, he said: “This is the heart of India.”

 

The ubiquity of the slums and their importance to the city’s economy makes it all the more bizarre that their brief and sanitised depiction in a successful, award-winning Indo-British film should have provoked howls of protest as well as enthusiastic reviews. One academic was widely quoted as saying that Slumdog was “the white man’s imagined India. It’s not quite snake charmers, but it’s close.” Film producer Arindam Chaudhuri wrote that it is “just every scrap of dirt picked up from every corner and piled up together to try and hit back at the growing might of India.”

It is of course true that the film “distorts reality”. Latika, sold to a pimp at 12, would be unlikely to remain a virgin so far into her teens. While it is no distortion to depict homeless children becoming the slaves of beggar-masters, and the blinding of children to become more effective beggars certainly happened in the past, such maiming is said to be much less common today. Perhaps the ultimate distortion of the film is the standard movieland way it shows good triumphing over evil.

As Kalpana Sharma points out, many elite Indians are deeply ignorant of the slums and their inhabitants. “They are the ones who need to see this film. Many people have no idea where their servants live. They don’t know that their driver, comes from a slum every day.” Certainly, I found that people who have some experience of the slums tend to be less offended by the film than those who have never entered one.

Unlike previous films by foreigners or Indians touching on sensitive subjects, Slumdog has not been banned; nor has it provoked riots. Indeed, it has done relatively well for a foreign film in India, especially given the massive availability of pirate DVDs in the weeks before it opened, the preference of Indian mass audiences for escapism, and the familiarity of a poverty that seems much less exotic and colourful when it is part of everyday life.

 

http://standpointmag.co.uk/node/1109/full

 

In the spring of 2005, I watched two U.S. Army units training Iraqi National Army soldiers at a base in Baghdad. One Iraqi brigade was in the care of a 100-man company belonging to an armor battalion of the Third Infantry Division. The company’s officers and men lived on the base with the Iraqis, went on patrol with them, and sent complaints up the line when they found their trainees were being deprived of pay or food or equipment by the corrupt and incompetent Iraqi ministry of defense. Their jundis, as Iraqi soldiers are called, eventually became an effective unit.

The Strongest Tribe: War Politics and the Endgame in Iraq by Bing West

The Forever War by Dexter Filkins

Another Iraqi unit was being trained by members of an American cavalry regiment that commuted daily from a base 40 minutes away. Its commanding officer would occasionally turn up and make it clear that he considered the mission a waste of time and a distraction from the real war. The Iraqi troops under his tutelage never developed the tactical or marksmanship skills they needed, and their officers never adopted a U.S.-style leadership culture, preferring instead to treat their men almost as servants.

Both Iraqi brigades were eventually certified as fully trained by the United States, even though one was excellent and the other almost useless. The difference between the two was traceable entirely to the personalities of the Americans charged with responsibility for them. One was an armor captain who put his heart into the job, the other a lieutenant colonel of cavalry who thought the job beneath his dignity. The captain helped win the war; the lieutenant colonel slowed its progress.

One could find similar examples all across Iraq over the five years of the war. Because the American military is remarkably decentralized, and because the struggle against the insurgents was spread out across at least half of the nation’s eighteen provinces, conditions in Iraq have risen and fallen over the years in accordance with the conduct of individual American officers of relatively modest rank. “This is a captains’ or a colonels’ war,” an astute commander once told me.

For anyone relying on the mainstream media, that fact may come as news. Nor will one find an awareness of it in most of the books written about the war by members of the foreign press corps in Baghdad. Their sense of events on the ground has usually borne some relation to the attitude of that colonel in the cavalry: deep skepticism, ignorance of military strategy, superciliousness toward the difficult tasks being undertaken around them, and an overarching vanity. They are, moreover, frequently too influenced by the partisan struggle at home to provide fair and clear portraits or analysis of a wildly complicated and multi-sided conflict.

In order to offer an honest and useful explanation of why the war went as wrong as it did, and why, after five painful years, it has undergone so remarkable a turnaround, a good book about Iraq would have to explain to readers the failure of the White House, the Pentagon, the National Security Council, and the State Department to work together effectively. Such a book would also have to help readers grasp the limitations of a military that, although unbeatable in open battle and much better at urban warfare than anyone expected, could nevertheless not finish its task without a comprehensive change in strategy and culture that began four years after the first shots were fired.

To this end, the book that is needed would show how, when it came to distributing aid and playing local Iraqi politics, the military proved much cleverer and more efficient than either the State Department or the Agency for International Development. And yet it would also reveal how some of the most highly-praised senior officers in charge of the war were foolish, irresponsible, or wrong-headed: men like General Tommy Franks, guilty of criminal complacency in the spring of 2003 when he presumed his job as overall commander was completed after a few weeks and promptly retired from duty; Generals John Abizaid and Ricardo Sanchez, neither of whom was up to the difficult task of running the military effort in Iraq; and even the Marine generals who made the disastrous call to halt the first attempt to retake the city of Falluja from Sunni, Baathist, and al-Qaeda forces after the slaughter of four American contractors in 2004.

Above all, such a book would explain the nature of the “captains’ and colonels’ war.” It would show how the revolutionary alteration in tactics undertaken by General David Petraeus in 2007, by seizing advantage of this great fact, brought about a vast change for the better that no one dependent on mainstream reportage would ever have imagined possible.

 

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The great accomplishment of Bing West, whose new book, The Strongest Tribe,1 is his third on the Iraq war, lies precisely in his demonstration of how this captains’ and colonels’ war came to be. West, who served as a Marine infantry officer in Vietnam and as an assistant secretary of defense in the Reagan administration, always connects events on the ground that he has witnessed with his own eyes to the discussions and decisions in Washington among politicians and generals. The Strongest Tribe is also remarkably up-to-the-minute, taking note, for example, of policy debates in Washington revealed only this past May with the publication of Douglas Feith’s War and Decision. Finally, West displays a profound understanding of military doctrine and a wealth of experience that together make The Strongest Tribe an invaluable guide to the conflict.

But as a piece of writing, unfortunately, The Strongest Tribe is problematic. It is marred by a tendency toward repetition and an excess of anecdotes that confuse rather than elucidate the core narrative. Worse, West is uninterested in and dismissive of Iraq and Iraqis. He has no time for Iraqi politicians, even though some of them, like Deputy Prime Minister Barham Salih, are extraordinarily brave and able, arguably fit heirs to our own founding fathers. He also exaggerates the parallels with the Vietnam conflict, underplays the role of the Army in favor of the Marines, has a surprising soft spot for the Baker-Hamilton Iraq Study Group—whose recommendations would have certainly led to an outright American defeat—and an even more surprising suspicion of General David Petraeus’s new manual on how to fight a counterinsurgency. Not least, he often seems unaware that there is more to the story of Iraq than can be gleaned from touring the theater with lieutenant colonels.

For these reasons, impressive though it is in many respects, The Strongest Tribe cannot be judged the book on Iraq we have been waiting for.

What, then, of another new book, The Forever War2? This memoir of a reporter’s two-and-a-half years in Iraq is almost certainly the most moving, exciting, and atmospheric portrait of the war yet published. Its author, Dexter Filkins, worked there as a correspondent for the New York Times, and during his tenure earned a well-deserved reputation for being bolder and more hardworking than many of his colleagues in the Baghdad press corps. Filkins went out into the field when other reporters felt constrained to stay in fortified compounds or hotels, sending their Iraqi stringers to conduct interviews and gather local color for the stories they relayed to their editors and readers with the presumption that they truly grasped the nature of the conflict they were covering.

 

Throughout The Forever War, Filkins shows a kind of street smarts all too rare in much reporting from Iraq. Early on, for example, he began to notice that Iraqis had a tendency to tell foreigners what they thought the foreigners wanted to hear. This behavior—perhaps an overhang of 30 years under totalitarian rule—worked to skew American reporting on Iraq toward the negative, since most mainstream reporters arrived in the country with an already developed hostility to the Coalition effort, only to find congenial locals ready to confirm their predetermined positions.

Time and again, common sense served Filkins well. Unlike his colleagues, who were given to reporting Iraqi rumor-mongering and conspiracy theories with a straight face, Filkins kept his eyes open and his wits about him. Thus, arriving at the scene of a car bombing and standing amid neighborhood residents screaming that the car had been hit by American missiles, Filkins notices a still-smoking engine block, the signature result of a vehicle rigged to explode. Similarly, he offers unforgettable snapshots of some of the significant but underreported oddities of the war, like the way Iraqis continue to hang their laundry or to go shopping in the middle of a firefight—behavior that often results in civilian casualties.

To his credit, Filkins also expresses genuine compassion for the millions of Iraqi victims of Saddam Hussein, and evinces a comprehensive grasp of the horrors of the Baathist security state that was ousted by the 2003 invasion. More than many of his colleagues, he appreciates the courage of those thousands of Iraqis who, beginning in 2003, stepped forward to build their own country and, as he writes, “went to the slaughter” at the hands of Sunni and Baathist insurgents.

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And yet, for all its virtues, The Forever War is also not the book we need. If anything, indeed, it is the kind of work that has made it so difficult, if not impossible, for Americans to understand the war in Iraq. In the end, it is instructive less for what it tells us about that war than for what it inadvertently reveals of the peculiar institutional biases that have left Americans less informed about this conflict than about any other in recent memory.

Some of these biases are revealed in the use of language. Filkins often refers to “the Americans” as if he were not one himself, or as if the New York Times was some kind of neutral nation of its own. But this stance of seeming neutrality turns out not even to be neutral. For Filkins, the Mahdi army, the militia led by the renegade Shiite cleric Moqtada al-Sadr, is made up of “guerrillas,” a term that legitimizes a loose association of street gangs and private armies, while the Blackwater corporation bodyguards hired to protect American diplomats are mere “gunmen.”

Filkins’s language reveals bias in ways that go beyond the assignation of improper words. His prose affects a world-weary, tough-guy stance in the manner of Michael Herr’s Vietnam memoir Dispatches (or of Herr’s narration as spoken by the actor Martin Sheen in the movie Apocalypse Now). The combination of Hemingwayesque swagger, Hollywood cliché, and a dash of the Vietnam anti-war movement’s hostile attitude toward Americans in uniform yields such nuggets as this: “The insurgency: it was everywhere and it was nowhere. The Americans brought in the heavy machinery and the storm troopers.” At another point, he presumes indiscriminate murderous intent of a kind one rarely encounters among experienced combat troops: “The heat outside was astounding but the guys still went out most days, loaded with guns and gear. Into the night, into rubble. Looking to waste people.”

Relating his first sight of American troops during the 2003 invasion, Filkins writes: “The Americans were pouring into the town, young and overfed and heavily armed. They were kids mostly, nineteen-year-olds from Kansas and North Dakota.” As it happens, I was there during the invasion, and I did not see too many “overfed” soldiers or Marines. Arriving in Iraq after training in the desert for months, they were lean and weathered. And they were not “kids.” In today’s military, most soldiers and Marines in combat units are not nineteen, as they were during Vietnam when the draft was still in force. Most are men in their early to mid-twenties, and they seem a great deal more mature than students or young professionals of the same age. The word “kids,” which Filkins employs all too frequently, simultaneously infantilizes, patronizes, and belittles the hundreds of thousands of Americans who have fought in the war.

Filkins makes much of the fact that he was often unfamiliar with the names of the small towns from which some young soldiers came, as if that in itself was cause for pathos. The implication here is that they were poor dumb hicks, with no other opportunity in life but the military. The truth is that three-quarters of American high-school graduates are unable to meet the intellectual and physical standards of today’s armed forces. But to Filkins these soldiers must evidently be either victims or villains, sacrificial lambs or brutes—anything but highly trained and often remarkably selfless professionals.

Here is Filkins reflecting on Marine casualties:

There wasn’t any point in sentimentalizing the kids; they were trained killers after all. . . . Sometimes I envied them their patriotism and their faith, honed out there on the plains of Oswatomie. Sometimes I thought they needed to ask more questions.

 

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Ask more questions, indeed. Has any nation, or military, asked itself more questions about its conduct in the midst of an ongoing conflict? The Army and Marine Corps have invested tremendous effort in preparing documents, referred to collectively as “Lessons Learned,” in which they acknowledge their errors and try to devise ways of doing things better.

The military has come to see, for example, that it makes sense to preserve institutional knowledge by sending the same units back to the same places in Iraq where they know the people and the people know them. The Army in particular has had to overcome its excessive emphasis on “force protection,” according to which accounting for the safety of the American fighting man is the first and most important task of a unit. On this point, senior commanders listened to their juniors, who insisted it would be safer in the long term for soldiers, and vastly more effective for the mission as a whole, if American troops were out on the streets, attuned to local events, instead of being hunkered down in heavily fortified bases far from the heart of battle.

If Filkins is aware of any of this, The Forever War betrays no sign of it. He clearly knows much more about Iraq and its various tribes, factions, and cultures than he does about his own country’s military. This is significant, and profoundly so, because the military has its own tribes, factions, and cultures, and no writer can convey a proper sense of its conduct without being aware of them.

 

Thus, the culture of the Marine Corps is different from the culture of the Army, and within the Army the culture of the 82nd Airborne Division, say, is different from that of the 3rd Infantry Division. Within those divisions, there are radical discontinuities not just among different battalions and companies but between combat and support troops, between staff officers back at base and their front-line counterparts, between the mortar platoon and the scout platoon. Some of those differences are matters of leadership, and dissolve over brief periods of time; others are institutional. If all military units are the same to you, if an awareness of the details of military culture is beneath you, then you will not be able to figure out why one U.S. unit killed a great many civilians at checkpoints while another, which did the hard work of getting to know the neighborhood, received a steady stream of intelligence tips from local Iraqis.

Filkins’s ignorance of military matters is compounded by his complacency about it, another attitude he shares with too many of his colleagues in the mainstream media. Beginning the superb account of his time embedded in Falluja, he writes, “the Marines were all from Kilo Company.” But there are scores of companies in the Marine Corps that bear the name of Kilo Company, “Kilo” being merely the word assigned to the letter “K” in what is known as the NATO phonetic alphabet (“alpha, bravo, Charlie,” and so on). The name “Kilo Company” alone, without reference to the regiment, division, or Marine expeditionary unit to which the company belongs, tells a reader nothing. It is both incomplete and discourteous, akin to reporting on an industrial dispute and not bothering to learn or state the full name either of the company involved or of the union local.

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Filkins left Iraq in 2006 to take up a position at Harvard. The Forever War, the book that has resulted from his labors there, is composed essentially of a series of atmospheric snapshots, devoid of chronology and redolent of the days when the war was arguably at its worst. Absent from it is any sense that Iraq is a very different place today, and that a war once on the verge of being lost is now on the verge of being won.

Granted, The Forever War is a personal account and not a history, but there is something strange, verging on the bizarre, about a book published in 2008 that makes no attempt to reconcile the two. The Anbar Awakening of 2007, when Sunni tribal leaders decided to switch sides and join the United States in fighting the al-Qaeda terrorists who had come into their province and turned it into a hell on earth, is the subject, literally, of a lone footnote. Neither the “surge” nor the massive decline in both American and Iraqi deaths even merits a mention in the book’s epilogue. It is as if Filkins and his publisher were worried that the overall impression created by The Forever War—Iraq as a hopeless and ever-worsening mess—might be undermined by hints of American success.

Something else about The Forever War is both suggestive and objectionable—namely, the undertone of self-congratulation that hums in almost every paragraph. Filkins wants his readers to know that he is a badass, a wild and crazy guy, a dude. He likes to write about “heavy shit” going down. Again and again he reminds us that in his devil-may-care adventurism he took five-mile evening runs. “It was madness,” he preens. “I was courting death or at least a kidnapping.” In one episode, he recounts how he and his friend, the New Yorker correspondent George Packer, mocked some Chilean security contractors guarding the Green Zone by boasting to them: “We live out in the Red Zone.” Later, without a trace of self-awareness, he offhandedly speaks the essential truth: “If I were kidnapped, the whole American army would be dispatched to look for me.”

Standing in stark contrast to Filkins’s periodic smugness and solipsism are the service orientation and self-sacrifice of the fighting forces he has made so little effort to comprehend. In an episode that served as the high point of a recent New York Times Magazine excerpt from this book, Filkins tells the story of a young Marine who was killed helping him and his photographer set up a picture of a dead insurgent. It is a terrible story, the kind of thing that would prompt another reporter to wonder about the validity of his profession and the meaning of his life. The photographer, in Filkins’s telling, is indeed wracked with guilt and self-loathing for having fatally implicated the Marine in a foolhardy venture. Not Filkins. His only emotional response comes later in the book when he meets the dead Marine’s parents, fearing their anger. When they fail to display any, thereby frustrating his expectations, he insultingly concludes that they are living in denial. Poor dumb hicks.

I finished The Forever War wondering how it is that heavily armed “kids” in the midst of a war zone can often seem so much more humane, mature, and compassionate than the highly educated star journalists who have made their reputations reporting from Iraq. Indeed, if the ideal book on this war has yet to be written, it is more likely to emerge from the experience of one of those “kids” than from journalists encrusted with the reflexive notions of the enclaves in which they burrow, as heavily defended from views that might challenge them as were American fighting forces in the “superbases” from which they had to emerge before the war in Iraq could be won.

 

Footnotes

1 The Strongest Tribe: War, Politics, and the Endgame in Iraq. Random House, 448 pp., $28.00.

2 Knopf, 386 pp., $25.00.

 

About the Author

Jonathan Foreman, who was an embedded reporter in Iraq in 2003 and 2005, is deputy editor of Standpoint, a new magazine in Britain.

The wind has changed in India’s capital, though not in a way that might disperse the ever more noxious smog produced by the thousands of new cars that hit the streets each week. Since the November terrorist attack on Mumbai, India’s richest and most populous city, magazine and newspaper headlines have called for the country to get serious and make real “war on terror.”

India is no stranger to jihadist terrorism. In 2007, there were lethal bombings in the cities of Jaipur, Bangalore, Ahmedabad, and Delhi. In 2006, Pakistan-based terrorists, helped by local accomplices, set off a series of explosive devices on Mumbai’s commuter trains that killed 209 people. But November’s attack was different. Mumbai’s “11/26,” as it is called here, targeted sectors of Indian society that, because of wealth or position, have long believed they were shielded from terrorism.

Most previous attacks were aimed either at the masses or at officialdom. The slaughter of the former has generally had little impact on public policy; thousands of poor people die in insurgent bombings, train wrecks, bus mishaps, and crowd panics every year, but in a nation with a population of over 1 billion people, these deaths are of startlingly little political or social consequence. At the same time, politicians and other high officials have enjoyed elaborate protections since the assault on India’s parliament in Delhi in December 2001. This time, by going after guests at Mumbai’s top two Indian-owned hotels, November’s terrorists struck a blow at India’s ruling class.

In India, five-star hotels like the Taj Mahal and the Oberoi-Trident are sanctuaries for the privileged and affluent. India’s elites go to them to shop, make deals, dine at the country’s best restaurants, and entertain on a scale impossible in small Mumbai apartments. The hotels combine the functions of a country club, an upscale shopping mall, and a well-appointed office building. People save up for months for lunch or even a coffee at the Taj, to buy some time insulated from the noise, crowds, and heat of real India, or to luxuriate in a polished Bollywood version of it. Well connected and well educated, the kind of person who regularly goes to dinner at the Oberoi or the Taj is likely to look down on the dirty business of Indian politics. Now that same class feels insecure for the first time.

As so often in the global conflict against jihadist terrorism, the Mumbai terrorists and their backers benefited from a clear understanding of their target society and its weaknesses. Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT), the Pakistan-based group believed to have carried out the attacks, had previously demonstrated a highly tuned sense of Indian society when attacking India’s parliament in 2001: exploiting reflexive deference to officialdom, its gunmen drove a bureaucrat’s official sedan to the attack and were waved through initial security.

In November in Mumbai, the terrorists understood how gunning down members of India’s English-speaking cultural, social, and financial elite would reverberate around the subcontinent and the globe. They knew they could rely on the incompetence of Mumbai’s police. They appreciated much better than the Indian authorities how the impact of their attacks would be magnified by India’s new 24-hour news channels, and how much more powerful a multi-day siege might be than a single devastating explosion.

They were genuinely modern in a way that the law-enforcement institutions that fought them are not. The troops that confronted the terrorists were dressed like top Western special forces but were not up to the job; dressed in civilian clothes, the terrorists operated with the skillfulness of well-trained commandos.

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Those calling for an Indian “war on terror” want to repair and modernize the intelligence, paramilitary, and bureaucratic structures that failed to forestall the attacks and to defeat them once they had begun. But the pundits and the newly mobilized upper middle class also want a revolution in the country’s response to Pakistan’s use of terrorism as a means of proxy warfare. India’s armed forces have never struck first against Pakistan. Now many of India’s citizens want a more robust and aggressive approach. One of the main obstacles to such an approach is, ironically and troublingly, India’s new ally, the United States.

As Indian commentators have pointed out, if the Mumbai attacks had been carried out against the United States by citizens of a hostile neighbor, they would have been considered an act of war by the state that aided or abetted them. The United States toppled the Taliban regime in Afghanistan for sheltering al Qaeda, whereas it seems likely that elements of the Pakistani state actually trained and equipped the terrorists who attacked Mumbai.

The stated goals of LeT include the restoration of Muslim rule in all of Central and South Asia. Though theoretically banned in Pakistan, LeT has operated openly for many years from its headquarters in Lahore under the name Jamaat ud Dawa. It has enjoyed considerable political clout because it runs hundreds of schools and clinics in areas where the Pakistani state fails to provide its citizens with even minimal services. Under foreign pressure, the Pakistani government banned Jamaat in December, but the group is expected to rename and re-form itself soon, and its properties and bank accounts remain untouched by government action.

As always with Pakistan, it is impossible to know if the Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) officers who allegedly helped coordinate what looked more like a commando operation than a terrorist attack were “rogue agents” acting on their own, or whether they had at least tacit permission from the Director General of the ISI, Ahmed Shuja Pasha, or the head of the Pakistani army, Ashfaq Kiyani, who is himself a former ISI chief.

It is widely believed in India that the Pakistani military may have given the go-ahead to the terrorist attacks because they knew it would lead to an Indian mobilization that would in turn justify a shift of Pakistan’s forces away from the Afghan frontier to the border with India. The Pakistani security establishment loathes fighting the Taliban and its allies in those tribal areas; after all, it was through the Taliban that Pakistan was able to run Afghanistan as a kind of colony while keeping the pro-Russian, pro-Indian Northern Alliance at bay. Moreover, it has always been both easy and politically useful in Pakistan to mobilize popular support against the Indian “threat”—never mind that it was Pakistan that started all three wars with its much larger neighbor during the decades before both countries obtained nuclear weapons.

It does seem unlikely that Pakistan’s civilian government had advance warning of the Mumbai attacks. However, in the aftermath of the attacks, the government has officially hewed to the absurd line that there is no evidence that the attackers were of Pakistani origin—even though Pakistani journalists have interviewed the father of captured terrorist Mohammad Ajmal Amir Kasab in his home village.

In the recent past, Pakistan has been able to back terrorist groups in various parts of India safe in the knowledge that its huge neighbor would never strike back. Though India’s vast military is quick to react with overwhelming force and draconian methods against local rebellions, India has tended to be pusillanimous when confronted by Pakistani-sponsored terrorism. In December 1999, after Pakistani terrorists hijacked a Delhi-bound Air India plane in Kathmandu and took it to Kandahar, Afghanistan, the Indian government agreed to their demands and released three high-value terrorist detainees, including the future founder of the Jaish-e-Muhammad (JeM) terrorist group and a jihadist who went on to decapitate the American Jewish journalist Daniel Pearl. When, two years later, Pakistani-supported gunmen from JeM and LeT attacked India’s parliament in New Delhi, India mobilized its troops and broke off relations with Pakistan for nine months, but did no more.

Since November’s attack, however, the Indian government, under pressure from public opinion, has seriously considered attacking the many militant training camps in the Pakistani-controlled sections of Kashmir. There is good reason to believe that American pressure has been the primary reason for India’s decision to hold back for now. Pakistan made clear to the United States that it would relieve military pressure on the Taliban and al-Qaeda forces in the mountainous areas adjoining Afghanistan if America did not restrain its ally. The U.S., as so often in the past, gave in to Pakistan’s threat of decreased cooperation.

This was despite the fact that Pakistan’s forces have been notably unsuccessful in depriving America’s enemies in the region of a safe haven in Pakistani territory. (The second-rate troops dispatched to the frontier areas have suffered high casualties and humiliating setbacks, while the Pakistani army has generally kept its crack troops on the Indian border.) Indeed, there have even been numerous occasions when Pakistani military and paramilitary forces have given direct assistance to the Taliban on the border with Afghanistan.

Another factor explaining India’s restraint thus far seems to have been a strong hint from Islamabad that Pakistan might go nuclear in the event of an Indian attack, despite the promise in November of the new president, Asif Zardari, that his country will never launch a first nuclear strike.

It may also have been the case that the Indian government feared that it could not successfully pull off surgical strikes against Pakistan. This fear is humiliating for India’s military. But the failure of India’s vaunted special forces to bring the Mumbai attacks to a quick and successful conclusion has almost certainly sapped the enthusiasm of Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh’s administration to go after targets that would be hard to hit and whose destruction would likely result in significant civilian casualties.

Still, American pressure on India not to take any kind of direct action against terrorist bases in Pakistan-controlled territory has been widely seen as a betrayal, and as proof that the United States will always subordinate Indian national interests to its complicated dance with Pakistan and its war in Afghanistan.

It is all the more unfortunate that this apparent betrayal has taken place at a time when large sections of Indian public opinion are readier than ever to make common cause with America.

There is still a good chance that in the wake of the November Mumbai attack, India and the United States could continue to develop a closer anti-terrorist alliance. However, in the recent past, American approaches to the region have been bedeviled by ignorance or misperception of various South Asian political realities. These include a radical underestimation of the power of anti-Americanism, especially among India’s security establishment, naiveté about Pakistan’s goals and methods in the region, and a tendency to treat both India and Pakistan as if they had the same ability and willingness to control “non-state actors” within their territory as do the United States and other Western countries.

 

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The Mumbai attacks and the reaction to them should have opened foreign eyes to the peculiar vulnerability of rising, globalized India to international terrorism. To watch the siege of Mumbai unfold, as I did first-hand in November, was to see a clash between India’s burnished image as a modern economic titan and the social and political realities that her boosters prefer to forget.

The confusion and disorganization of the city’s response to an invasion by as few as ten terrorists was a sharp reminder that India’s public sector has little of the entrepreneurial vitality of the newly liberated private sector. This is a country in which the first, second, and third worlds coexist within the same physical space.

The idea that security can be significantly improved given the vast endemic chaos of India’s cities seems doubtful. No one even knows if there are 4 or 8 million homeless migrants living on the streets of New Delhi, almost all of them unregistered in any way with organs of the state. Mumbai’s harbor, the main port of entry into India’s commercial and financial hub, is essentially under the control of Dawood Ibrahim, an organized-crime kingpin turned sponsor of anti-Hindu terrorism living in exile in the Pakistani city of Karachi. Everyone knows this, but Ibrahim’s organization has too much influence over many politicians and officials for anything to be done about it.

A recent poll showed that many Indians believe the police to be the most corrupt institution in the nation. It is impossible to exaggerate the extent of the flouting of rules and laws to which obedience is taken for granted in most developed countries. Even given the amount of form-filling the bureaucracy requires of legitimate visitors to the country, the idea that the Indian authorities can significantly improve their ability to keep tabs on either Pakistani infiltrators or their allies and relations among India’s mostly loyal Muslim minority is far-fetched. As Vinod Mehta, the editor of India’s leading news magazine, Outlook, wrote in the aftermath of the Mumbai attacks, “We are a rotten state whose insides have been pillaged by politicians and bureaucrats who masquerade as public servants.”

 

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Among other security weaknesses, India’s internal intelligence agency, the Intelligence Bureau (IB), is only 25,000 strong. Worse, it wastes much of its resources spying on innocent Western visitors. Perhaps because its ranks are dominated by men who came of age during India’s most anti-Western and pro-Soviet period, the IB is particularly obsessed with American and British visitors, rather than with potential Islamist terrorists. One British traveler who crossed the Tibetan border in order to take his sick horse to a veterinarian was held in prison for seven months as a spy. American journalists and NGO workers are routinely tailed and harassed on suspicion of being CIA agents. If the IB and India’s foreign intelligence service, known as Research and Analysis Wing (RAW), were less obsessed with the CIA and MI6, they might do a better job of preventing attacks like those in Mumbai.

This strange cold-war hangover is one of the quirks that American officials are going to have to understand as the United States inevitably becomes more involved in the complicated politics of the subcontinent.

Something of the flavor of Russophilia and related dislike for the United States still prevalent among Indian officials is conveyed by an article by the prominent Indian terrorism expert B. Raman, a former senior official of RAW, on the occasion of Vladimir Putin’s last visit to India in 2007.

Raman wrote that he was delighted that Putin was the chief guest at the celebrations of India’s Republic Day, an honor never extended to any U.S. President, but furious that “the excitement over Putin’s visit is confined to the policy making circles, the national security managers, the Communists and other leftists, and the media.” He continued:

The comfort level between Indian public servants and their Russian counterparts continues to be high. Indian public servants do not feel as comfortable with their American counterparts. . . . Indian public servants have too many painful memories of the innumerable occasions when they were bitten by the US—right from the day India became independent in 1947. How the U.S. tried to obstruct the development of heavy industries! How President John Kennedy was thwarted by the U.S. Congress when he wanted to help India in the construction of a steel plant at Bokharo! How the U.S. repudiated its solemn contractual commitments with regard to the nuclear power station at Tarapore after India carried out its nuclear tests of 1974! . . . Can you cite a single instance since our independence when the USSR or Russia had betrayed India and its people? It stood by us through thick and thin.

Indian cold-war attitudes to America have often evolved into a new form of paranoia as India has become wealthier and more powerful in the region. Many senior Indian military officers believe that India’s expanding sphere of influence is being violated and encircled by a United States whose primary goal is quashing India’s rise to superpower status.

An interesting example of this attitude is provided by a recently published, well-received book by General S. Padmanabhan, the former chief of India’s army staff. Titled The Writing on the Wall: India Checkmates America 2017, it envisages a war between India and an American-Pakistani alliance. It would be an understatement to say that it assumes American malice toward India. Like many Indian commentators, Padmanabhan sees the Bush administration’s preemption doctrine and the invasion of Iraq as a direct threat to India, and envisages an alliance between India, Russia, Iran, and Vietnam to counter that threat. Padmanabhan’s fictional scenario climaxes in a successful Indian cyberattack that cripples American government and commerce. On the way to bringing America to her knees, India finally becomes a permanent member of the UN Security Council, thanks to her Russian and Chinese friends.

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Just as many influential Pakistanis believe that the U.S. and NATO war against the Taliban in Afghanistan is linked to an Indian plot to deprive Pakistan of “strategic depth,” many Indian policymakers assume that there are sinister anti-Indian motives at work in America’s relationship with Pakistan.

India misconstrues the motivations for confusing U.S. policies in South Asia: there is probably no one in the U.S. foreign-policy establishment to whom it has even occurred that America should conspire to frustrate India’s rise to regional power. Nevertheless, the United States consistently provokes Indian mistrust by its contradictory and self-defeating policies toward Pakistan.

India is right to note, for instance, that the F-16 fighter jets sold to Pakistan at subsidized rates under the rubric of anti-Taliban and anti-terrorist assistance are really only useful as a defense against the Indian Air Force. The sale was a wasteful and destructive gesture that made a mockery of the pressure Washington was supposedly trying to apply on Islamabad to get serious about the Taliban resurgence. Worse, it critically undermined the position of those Indian opinion-leaders who have been pushing hard for a closer relationship with the United States.

American officials have consistently underestimated the amount of suspicion (the great Indian vice, according to E.M. Forster) their words and actions inspire in New Delhi, just as they have naively underestimated the duplicity of America’s supposed allies in Islamabad. If the United States is to build an effective working relationship with India’s diplomatic and security establishment—an achievement that might make Pakistan a more rather than less pliable “friend” in the battle against jihadist terrorism and the Taliban—it will have to learn how to assuage that suspiciousness and sensitivity to apparent slights. India has had its day of reckoning, and its awakening to the terrorist threat may soon put sobering new pressure on the United States to choose sides between the devil it knows in Pakistan and the chaotic, paranoid, vital, vibrant India that is its natural ally.